The Allais Paradox involves the choice between two alternatives

A. 89% chance of an unknown amount

10% chance of $1 million 1% chance of $1 million

B. 89% chance of an unknown amount (the same amount as in A)

10% chance of $2.5 million 1% chance of nothing

What is the rational choice? Does this choice remain the same if the unknown amount is $1 million? If it is nothing?

Allais Solution

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